MLB betting tips for Thursday: Will Padres and Pivetta punch playoff ticket?

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.

Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz

Thursday's top batter prop bets

Lawrence Butler | OVER 0.5 HR (+567)
Projection: 17% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.32 EV

Cedric Mullins | OVER 0.5 HR (+820)
Projection: 12% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.77 EV

Eugenio Suarez | OVER 0.5 RBI (+278)
Projection: 32% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.13 EV

Tyler Stephenson | OVER 0.5 RBI (+268)
Projection: 33% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.44 EV

Dansby Swanson | UNDER 0.5 H (+148)
Projection: 47% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.57 EV

Thursday's top pitcher prop bets

Randy Dobnak | UNDER 3.5 K (+103)
Projection: 64% chance of this bet hitting, with a $30.22 EV

Nick Pivetta | OVER 4.5 K (-115)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.97 EV

Cam Schlittler | OVER 6.5 K (+121)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.93 EV

Kumar Rocker | OVER 1.5 ER (-125)
Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.46 EV

Andrew Painter | UNDER 5.5 K (-157)
Projection: 69% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.23 EV

THE BAT X: Team Projections

Top betting trends

Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. 

Chicago White Sox 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total OVER:
The White Sox have gone over this total in eight consecutive games.(+8.85 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -105

Arizona Diamondbacks Game Total UNDER:
Games involving Arizona as the road team have gone under this total eight straight times. (+8.05 Units / 93% ROI). Current odds: 10 @ -108

San Diego Padres Moneyline:
San Diego has won 13 of its last 15 games. (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI). Current odds: +145

New York Yankees Run Line:
The Yankees have won this bet eight time out of their last 10 home games. (+8.05 Units / 71% ROI). Current odds: -1 @ -103